Posts Tagged ‘Foreclosures’

Short Sales-The Biggest Challenge

Wednesday, July 14th, 2010

For almost two years now, the buzz in the real estate community is the new answer for staying in business (if you are a Realtor) and more importantly, saving American housing, has been the short sale.  Briefly, short sales are when a homeowner is able to get their mortgage company to accept less than the balance of the loan in order to complete a sale of the home. 

For years we have struggled with short sales and I feel that experience gave me some insight others may not.  For a long time, I have been skeptical that short sales will be a big part of the housing solution.  Primarily because there are so many stakeholders in the game that have to agree, it is basically selling a home by committee..and a large committee at that.  

Earlier this year the federal HAFA program began and with it I believe we have the most significant step in creating a process to assist people who need to sell with a short sale.  Unfortunately, simply identifying who NEEDS to use a short sale for a sale of their home is not as easily done as said.  HAFA goes a long way toward placing some boundaries on identifying these parties.  The primary one is the owner must have tried first for a government loan modification and failed to qualify.  While this parameter had to be built in, many homeowners are barking because they simply DO NOT want to stay in their home and DO NOT want a modification.  Yet..they are underwater on their mortgage and few think they should be required to use any of their own cash in order to settle on their debt.  There are also many innocent people who HAFA can assist because they do not have any resources so they are not going to qualify for the HAMP modification, clearing their path to a HAFA short sale. 

It is the group of people that have the resources to settle some part of their unpaid mortgage balance that are now seeking creative ways to complete a short sale.  Besides the attempts to hide assets, a new game is playing itself out where the short sale is orchestrated by several parties, outside the lender’s awareness.  Simply, sales are being created that are not arms length.  For the players in this scene, the banks are eventually finding out and prosecuting.  The most comon scheme is known as “Home Flopping”.    Federal agents say these schemes are on the rise. 

“Home Flopping” involves the listing agent for a home convincing a bank to complete a short sale for an amount the listing agent recognizes will allow a second sale to a third party for an increased amount.  In other words, the increased amount is what the bank should have accepted and received in the short sale.  The parties to the transaction (Seller, Realtor, Buyer #1, and the Broker Price Opinion agent) all split the profits.  The FBI is prosecuting one of these right now where the Realtors have pled guilty of convincing Regions Bank to accept a short sale of $102,375 and two month later selling the property for $132,500.  Profits were likely distributed to all parties.

The biggest challenge for short sales?  Greed!  All the parties to the transaction, and I can think of about eight possible ones, all have their motivations and the committee rarely can totally agree.  Throw in a few of the parties who have additional profit schemes in mind and you can see why I remain skeptical about the success of short sales ever really being a large part of the solution to the housing crisis.

The best solution-a revived economy.  Next to that, modification or a controlled Deed In Liew of Foreclosure.  Modifications allow people to stay in their home with a new payment plan, orwith a Deed In Lieu they may leave their home  and the bank avoids the laws that cause homes to deteriorate sitting vacant for months to years awaiting foreclosure.  Two simple solutions that take the greed factor out of the equation.   Time will tell..but this is a message I have been putting out there for two years now and so far, little has happened to prove me wrong.

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Spreading The Blame

Monday, May 10th, 2010

Everybody is doing it.  Who is to blame for the economic mess?  If you are a politician it is every policy you were against-have you noticed that?  Now our government thinks we should just create a whole bunch of laws to make sure big bad banks never screw us over again.

When it comes to housing, I still am waiting to hear somebody place the blame where it most certainly belongs….on we the people.  How many of you out there bought a house from about 2002-2008 with a less than 5% down payment, maybe interest only, maybe no income verification?  I know that it is a lot because I witnessed it first hand, week after week, during this period.  We all were living for today and sleeping at night thinking housing was destined to always rise in value.  That appreciation was our security blanket. 

The way I continue to see this is the whole housing industry, from mortgage companies to builders,  from Realtors to investors, and finally to the consuming public, need to get out of the blame game and accept responsibility.  But that is as far as it goes.  Here is why.  The public wanted housing.  The public wanted more space. The public wanted fancy appliances.  The public wanted status.  Most big screen TV’s are bought on consumer credit and the public wants them also.  If credit card debt crashes (maybe it has?) are we going to once again blame appliance stores and finance companies for offering six months same as cash?  Will our leaders spend endless hours and resources protecting the consumer?

There is a certain logic at work here that says we are all too stupid to accept responsibility for our decision making.  In addition, since we are all too stupid, we all must be protected from the ramifications of our actions.  This way of operating a country seems to be leading us into a financial crisis ten times the severity if we had all just fessed up to our problems.  Like an Alcoholics Anonomyous meeting, we all could have said, “my name is Bob Smith and I allowed my desire for modern housing, and the fact that there was a way to obtain it, cloud my judgement.  I made a bad business decision and today I am in recovery.”

What got me thinking about this is a very interesting study released last week.  Certainly not considered politically correct, economists at the University of Arkansas have published “The Foreclosure Crisis: Did Wall street Practice Predatory Lending or Did Households Overreach?”  Guess what the study concludes?  Households overreached!

Overall, the study found that most foreclosed households were not “duped” into bad loans. Rather, they were caught up in a housing price bubble in which both consumers and lenders were too aggressive.

Not surprizing to people who make a living in the housing industry if they would just admit it.  We all accomodated the demand.  From Wall Street to Main Street.  We made a living finding solutions to the public’s demand. 

The study is interesting for how it breaks down the population of people whose homes were in foreclosure during the third quarter of 2008.  The people with the highest risk of foreclosure (low income, low education) are not the ones who are experiencing the highest rates of foreclosure.  Of course, the politicians want to make us believe these are the victims they are trying to protect in all the new takeovers and regulations.  The group with the highest level of foreclosures were affluent and well educated.  This also coincides with the location of the largest percentages of default..coastal hot spots and Las Vegas. There is a whole other post in me to write about the literally daily phone calls I use to receive from the California “investor” who basically had taken a second mortgage on their home, with phantom equity we now can safely say, and wanted to buy some cheap Midwestern properties.  These almost all ended up in default with no money spent on them.  This “investor” today is eleigible for multiple types of relief because few programs that have been created seem to want to let anybody fail so they are not limited to purchase money loans.

We are the enemy.  We all like to consume.  It is a societal problem.  Do we all think we need to be protected from ourselves?  Somebody does.

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Ugly Houses..We Have Seen This For Years!

Sunday, December 7th, 2008

This is kind of fun and disgusting at the same time.  We don’t normally publish pictures of what we find in some of the homes we go into after a foreclosure due to seller considerations.  Maybe you heard about this contest for the Ugliest House in America.  Homevestors are putting out on the web pictures of homes that reflect what we find routinely.  It is sad to see what filth people will live in, and how they leave their properties.  This will be an eye-opener for you if you have not been around these types of properties before. 

Unfortunately, I think this says something about why I do not think the government is going to turn around the foreclosure problem.  I truly think there is an undiscussed societal issue occuring also.  Not so much that people do not take care of their properties, but the lack of initiative to try and correct a situation gone wrong.  Look at these pics and think about it…

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Foreclosure Tsunami in Florida

Thursday, December 4th, 2008

For the last thiry days I have spent almost 25 of them in Florida.  Lee County to be specific.  Based on the success of our Tampa office, we were asked to open an office in what is now becoming America’s foreclosure capital.  It is a mistake to say that the foreclosures are in Fort Myers (the largest of the cities in Lee County).  They are not.  Foreclosures are incredible in the cities of Cape Coral and particularly Lehigh Acres.  Cape Coral is to the north of Fort Myers, and Lehigh to the east.

For a detailed map of this area and the foreclosure problem, click here.  This map shows Lee County and foreclosure actions filed for the year ending June 30.  The primary thing to notice is homestead versus non-homestead properties.  In Florida that is the technical tax-related definition for whether a home is owner-occupied (Homestead) versus investor owned.  The blue dots represent the majority of foreclosure actions and they are non-homestead. 

I have read that in Lehigh Acres..70% of foreclosures are non-homestead.  The issues that result from a market totally built from speculation are amazing and I intend to blog about more in the coming days. It is something I can’t imagine ever seeing again in my lifetime.  Cape Coral is a much more developed community and if I was to bet, I believe Cape Coral will recover much faster.  Lehigh Acres is a study all to itself.

I understand there are other areas of the country with foreclosure problems.  Lee County Florida is one of the top markets.  Built on speculation over the last few years, it was bound to crash as more inventory was built than there are people or jobs.  Here are the latest statistics to give you a broad overview:

November 2008

Lis Pendens Filings

1681 Mortgage Related Foreclosure filings

1775 total Lis Pendens Filed

88.4 Per Diem in filings

121 per diem filings for the month prior
Deeds Via Foreclosure
682 Deeds were transferred via foreclosure from the courts.

 

How long will it take to clean up the inventory in Lee County?  Being close to the issue, I think there is another two years of stagnant prices and high volume of vacant homes on the market.  I will continue to blog on my experiences here as it says a lot about what started the recession of 2008.

 

  

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